Until recently, the Nasdaq was driven higher by hot new tech names like Facebook, Priceline and Tesla. Now, ‘hot new tech’ is cooling down while tech dinosaurs are rallying higher. What does this rotation mean?
Priceline, Netflix, Facebook and Tesla are the driving force behind a ‘new and improved’ technology boom.
Those companies are cutting edge, hip, and until recently hot.
But something changed in March. Hip wasn’t hot anymore. PCLN, NFLX, FB and TSLA are all of a sudden 10 – 20% below their highs.
It seems like the money left ‘Hot Tech’ and moved into ‘Old Tech.’
Dinosaurs like Microsoft, Oracle, Cisco and Intel just got a vitamin M shot and boost (M as in Money).
What does this ‘changing of the guards’ mean?
Here’s one possible reason: Stocks in general and the Nasdaq in particular have gotten pricey.
Investors don’t want to go into cash (yet), but they are taking some risk off the table by rotating from high beta tech into ‘tried and true’ low beta tech.
As the third chart illustrates, the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) has also started to underperform the S&P 500.
The S&P 500 (NYSEArca: SPY) is now top dog and just spiked to a new all-time high this morning. Is this a technical breakout or just another fake out?
Here are two charts that may well change your expectations for the S&P 500:
Simon Maierhofer is the publisher of the Profit Radar Report. The Profit Radar Report presents complex market analysis (S&P 500, Dow Jones, gold, silver, euro and bonds) in an easy format. Technical analysis, sentiment indicators, seasonal patterns and common sense are all wrapped up into two or more easy-to-read weekly updates. All Profit Radar Report recommendations resulted in a 59.51% net gain in 2013.
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